Pakistan religious parties’ mass agitation against feudal regime will come as shock to the world if the world has not received the shocks yet. Pakistan lack a concrete historical political system, the Do-it-yourself system has already collapsed. It would be hard to predict that when hundred of thousands of people willing to sacrifices themselves in the streets to bring the westernised feudal, army affiliated rules to the end in Pakistan.
The Pakistan Islamist revolution to be is similar to the 1979 Iranian Islamic revolution. The Iranian masses blamed the west for Shah Regime failure, the Pakistani also blames the west in general and America in particular for the Pakistan’s rules failures. The Iranian revolution was led and supported in the name of ancient religious values, and the Pakistan religious agitation is led and supported in the name of ancient religious values claim to provide a truer and more just foundation for modern Pakistan where they claim western ideals have failed society. The religious has absolute control over the society and the ability to transform it at will.
The peasant, rural, Pakistani will resist any modernisation attempt by the liberal and conservative centralised elite the centralised modernisation has always been connected with dictatorship. The uprooted peasant mobilised by religious against western educated rulers will lead to violent political change accompanied by social changes. Religious parties have capabilities to mobilised northwest Pakistan, Punjab, and city of eighteen millions people “Karachi”; they will succeed either by vote or violent to take over the two most populace provinces of Pakistan. The Islamic revolution may take form of crisis in part of Sindh, and Baluchistan, in the case of breakdown of state it would turn to civil war in sindh and Baluchistan.
Pakistan’s rulers are unable to establish a new and different relation between state and society. On the other hand Islamist parties have natural power and ability to generate ideologies and organisation for political mobilisation of the masses.
Pakistan rulers through the exercise of state power can lay the foundation of state, economy but further changes require modern form of social and political organisation. Societies without corporate organisation, professional associations and legitimate social elites, will lack stability and vitality. Pakistan without fixed reliable constitutions durable civil government structure and a public organisation will be confused and unable to shape and mobilise social groups for their own purposes.
The gap between the ruling elites and social masses are widened. They failed to modernise the political classes, the link between politician and society is blocked the channels of communications between the political system and the general population is blocked. Pakistan is tyrannical state, any constitutional reform and modernisation will undermines its effectiveness and legitimacy and widens the barriers between state and Islamist and deprive the state of a significant Islamic base.
M.Sarjov
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