Sunday, December 17, 2017

Iran is fast becoming a failing State



Iran survived as a State because of a historical accident and protection from the international norm that the member of the United Nations provide legitimacy to each other. The international norm Iran violated has benefited Iran enormously.


The failed states pose a great threat to the World. The American led states have been trying to prevent states from becoming failed States. The Afghanistan and Iraq and Yemen have shown that the State building is not cheap, it’s take time and need money. The Iranian meddling in Middle East and its unswerving support has been a challenge for the American world order.


Iran’s State structure is based on the coercive structure without proper institutions and little legitimacy to hold on to, so with little effort from within the state will collapse. Iran appear to be strong in term of destructive power and influence and control over many terrorist organisations but a falling state in terms of delivering good and services, protection of its citizen and their rights.


A strong army cannot prevent state or resuscitate failed states. Iraq is a wealthy country and in the recent past, had a strong army but Iraq failed to create a constitution and build institutions according to the state’s diverse population need and normalise the rule of law.

Iran as a State is not much different from Iraq under Saddam Hussain rule. Iran has without doubt a Strong paramilitary forces with guerrilla warfare capacity.

Iran is not capable to deliver goods and services to its citizen on scale they do not to undermine the legitimacy of the State. State failure arise when the majority of people are denied opportunities for political participation in the political process which effect their daily lives.

 Iran is no longer capable to arbitrate disputes between citizens and diverse ethnic groups competing for the control of state’s resources, provision of economic infrastructures and provide security to citizens.

Iran has always been governed by a colt like leader from centre (Tehran).  A number of weakness start to delegitimise the State. Disharmony, in some cases conflicts, between communities, Ethnic groups and State failure to control, in some case the State takes side and aggravate the conflicts. Crime is rewarded, the State borders are maintained by Criminal on behalf the State. The growth of criminal violence, rotten infrastructure and corrupt institutions.


In addition the arbitrary post-colonial borders, lack of democracy, widespread of unemployment and poverty and Iran’s dependent on terrorists organisations as a tool for influence in the foreign countries also Iran has been using the foreign terrorists to suppress its own citizens. The majority of Baluch, Arab and Kurd population reached a point that they are not willing to accept Persian rule and decision. Iran is fast becoming a failing State.

Mehrab Sarjov is a Baluch political activist based in London and campaign for an independent Baluchistan

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