Many believe the Taliban to be a spent force and they argue that
the Taliban are not united as they were, prior to the exposing of the death of
Mullah Omar. It is true there have been rivalries and infighting within the
Taliban leadership. The Taliban are after all a tribal people their movement is
shaped by the tribal mind-set. Regardless of the rivalries and infighting, the
Taliban are still represent one body. Afghanistan's neighbours support their
own brand of Taliban and foreign support has been causing competition within
their factions as they compete for resources.
Afghanistan has been an unstable state for a considerable
period of time and has little experience of centralised government, the
Monarchy previously ruling Afghanistan under the Jirga system
Afghanistan's problems, to some extent, are not created by
the Afghanis themselves but are the result of long term foreign, outside
interference by the superpowers and its neighbours. As a war-torn country,
Afghanistan has many problems but the major two are exceptional,
Internal ethnic/tribal mistrust and foreign interference;
1) Internal problems
The constitution although recognising Afghanistan as a
multi-ethnic state fails to address the critical demand for power sharing and
this has caused low level fighting between ethnic groups for control of power
in Kabul. There is a level of trust deficit between ethnic groups along with a
mistrust between tribes within a given ethnic group for variety of reasons.
The Afghani Internal problems’ could be greatly alleviated
by dialogue, constitutional reform and power sharing. Although there exists environment of mistrust
in Afghanistan, the Afghan ethnic groups do not hate each other.
2- Outside interference is the problem the Afghans alone
cannot resolve and needs The United Nations and western powers help to solve.
Pakistan,
Pakistan is the worldwide Capital of Jihadism and is so far the only country benefiting from extremism and the war against it. The Pakistanis have promoted, trained and housed Jihadi groups as well as individuals. Anti-Afghan forces within Pakistan have long claimed the right to meddle with Afghan sovereign and is determined to control Afghanistan through Taliban. The United States has the power to this direct interference by in Afghanistan.
Iran
Although the Iranians have supported the Taliban for many
reasons, their overriding priority is to hurt the and divert attention from the
USA.
Following the 1979 Iranian Islamic revolution, The Supreme
Leader established two international Islamic organisations to spread Islamic revolution
in the world. One a Shiite and the other, a Sunni.
Ahel-e-Beait supports Shiite terrorism worldwide.
And Etihad-e-Muslimeen an organisation support Sunni
terrorists worldwide.
Both working directly under the supreme leader Ali Khamenei
and both organisations managed by Al-Quads.
Numbers of well-known top Sunni scholars, both Pakistani and
Afghan are the members of Etihad-e-Muslimeen with Iran supporting the Taliban
through these organisations including directly recruiting Afghans to spread
terror in Afghan and Middle East.
From the Iranians point of view it makes sense for them to
support the Taliban. Iranians hate the Sunni Taliban whilst they and the Jihadi
groups hate the American and their enlighten values. Iran has been supporting
Al-Qaida not for the love of their ideology but for the hatred Al-Qaida shares
with them against America.
Western policy makers have incorrectly developed ideas that
Shiite Iran does not support Sunni Taliban because of their level hate toward
each other as well as ideological differences.
Iranian support of the Taliban is tactical prolonging the
war in Afghanistan engaging the American administration both there, in Syria
and other places to buy much needed time for their nuclear bomb. The Iranian
believe they can achieve actual nuclear weapon capability or at worst a
credible threat of it thereby becoming masters of the Middle East.
Russian
Russian supports its own brand of Taliban. Not all Taliban
fight for their ideology and have evolved as mercenaries’ with guns for hire.
Afghanistan has been fertile ground for the hire men and
guns, the Russians and Iranians knowing it better than anyone else.
Russian support will increase Taliban operational
capabilities with both Russian and Iran having a common goal in the Middle
East. Afghanistan is one place they can fight the American and win.
Afghanistan's problems to some extent, are not created
internally but are the result of long term foreign interference by superpowers
and its neighbours.
No matter how much money and troops one pours in into
Afghanistan, change will not come as long as Afghanistan’s neighbours are free
to finance, train, house and motivate the Taliban to fight and kill Afghan.
Mehrab, Sarjov a Baluch activist based in London. A leading
expert in Baluchistan and the Middle East.
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