Iranian officials are saying, "We are not the party that should rush for an agreement.
The situation will change if Ukraine's war continues for another two months. Western states are dependent on Russian energy. The German dependence is so high that yesterday one of the politicians of this country advised the people not to bathe with hot water anymore.
.The situation in England is even worse. A few days ago, the Express newspaper started to redefine and analyze mold. Who said that all molds are dangerous?"
"And these are just the destructive political and security consequences that the Western countries have suffered since the war started in Ukraine 6 months ago.
For some time now, news (mostly from officials and western media) about nuclear negotiations has been published, the authenticity of which is unknown."
"1) There is no mention of observing red lines in this news. 2) All sanctions are not going to be lifted. 3) The Islamic Republic of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is still on the sanctions list, and most importantly, 4) there is no firm and impeccable guarantee. Because the Ebrahim Raisi government has not provided the necessary information about this, we do not know the accuracy of this news. But we need to look at the situation in which Europe and then make a decision because there is still time. We should also pay attention to the forecasts and reports published by international institutions and organizations and the World Bank about Iran's economic situation. The situation will get better. The 13th government has also proven that we can achieve a lot without JCPOA and FATF. So, we are not the ones to rush. We need two months! If the war in Ukraine continues for another two months, the situation will change to our advantage!
One should not forget that sanctions are tools to put pressure on Iran by the enemy, so they will never abandon this tool effectively. If tomorrow America announces that America will accept the agreement, they don't hesitate to leave after the winter is over".
(above pieces of information are from various sources.)
Conclusion,
Iran will not give up the atomic bomb project and support terrorism. Agreement or no agreement, since the regime is determined to build a nuclear bomb; and is committed to supporting terrorism, Iranian are sure that they will violate the term of the agreement. The Covid19 and the war in Ukraine have impacted the Europe economy and the world.
Iran's calculation, in this case, is very wrong.
Mehrab sarjov a Baluch is a political activist based in London.
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